tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2143544841266799337.post4009582035530087142..comments2023-12-25T04:28:12.868-06:00Comments on Yellow Dog Patrol: The 2012 Republican Presidental Canidate Field ReviewedUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2143544841266799337.post-28444788447358861522011-03-29T19:44:11.186-05:002011-03-29T19:44:11.186-05:00I would say there is Bush fatigue in the media and...I would say there is Bush fatigue in the media and in the electorate, but the critical issue is where that Bush fatigue is. <br /><br />The race to win the presidency is more of a geographical issue than it is a popularity issue. Most of the "Bush fatigue" would be in NE liberal states and west coast states that are not going to vote for a Republican candidate anyways. The Bush issue might cost you a couple of points in CA, MA, or NY but so what.<br /><br />On the other hand, Jeb Bush is a southern politician that would play to those audiences and the more conservative audiences in Indiana and Ohio. <br /><br />And, even more important, Jeb Bush is not George W. Bush. I am a huge fan of W., but Jeb is by far the smarter of the brothers, and it isn't even close.<br /><br />I doubt that Jeb runs. I don't think the fire is in him. But if I can choose a 2012 GOP candidate, he is it. The path I demonstrated above is there for Jeb. He only really has to work hard in Ohio to win, and Ohio switched over big time to the GOP in 2010.The Housenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2143544841266799337.post-90088376837583891442011-03-29T05:42:56.101-05:002011-03-29T05:42:56.101-05:00House, interesting insight. Do you think the medi...House, interesting insight. Do you think the media would allow another Bush to get elected? Are there some in the electorate that would suffer from Bush fatigue and stay home?Yellow Dog Patrolhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12215656181951223299noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2143544841266799337.post-69488323217570834532011-03-28T21:26:55.884-05:002011-03-28T21:26:55.884-05:00The name I am going to pull out of the woodwork is...The name I am going to pull out of the woodwork is Jeb Bush. Pick out the best features of all of the candidates from above and Jeb Bush has them, with the added bonus of having 100% name recognition and top fund raising bona fides. <br /><br />Jeb easily wins the three southern states that Obama carried, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida that are not absolutely guaranteed to candidates like Chris Christie, Tim Pawlenty or Paul Ryan. If you then add Indiana, which any Repubican candidate will carry in 2012, you have created a race that Jeb Bush only needs to campaign in Ohio to win 272 electoral votes and the presidential election. <br /><br />So, as a candidate Jeb Bush gives you the easiest path to turning the five 2008 Obama states a Republican needs to win the election: NC, VA, FL, OH, and Indiana, as well as maintain the McCain states. (And that is the beauty of the 2010 Census because in 2008 those states would only total 265 electoral votes).<br /><br />THe only problem with Jeb Bush is that to win the presidential nomination you need to have the absolute fire to win, and I am not sure if he has it.The Housenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2143544841266799337.post-50036982305801366932011-03-28T10:26:37.428-05:002011-03-28T10:26:37.428-05:00Haley Barbour. Watch! Big time Lobbyist in the p...Haley Barbour. Watch! Big time Lobbyist in the past. Big time Player in the Republican Party. If he can turn perennial cellar dwellar Mississippi into Forbes top 10 most progressing states what could he do with the country. He's been making the rounds too. I seriously want be surprised if he's a front runner. Just my .02c murfnoreply@blogger.com